Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-31 1.641422 1.873577 2.128364 2.428988 2.774334 3.159033 3.620621
2025-09-07 1.357442 1.673796 2.049771 2.530582 3.130683 3.856991 4.805847
2025-09-14 1.139509 1.499052 1.955959 2.581531 3.419533 4.508638 6.040121
2025-09-21 0.957284 1.331252 1.834678 2.565883 3.607588 5.048501 7.210476
2025-09-28 0.794650 1.159587 1.676073 2.465979 3.653805 5.389701 8.148614
2025-10-05 0.725659 1.106851 1.671820 2.578188 4.011420 6.216377 9.915557
2025-10-12 0.672007 1.067177 1.678046 2.701940 4.397675 7.133289 11.959151
2025-10-19 0.612866 1.009464 1.646426 2.757557 4.677332 7.912367 13.890007
2025-10-26 0.561060 0.955848 1.612726 2.801915 4.939233 8.690736 15.931234
2025-11-02 0.497157 0.873180 1.519172 2.728701 4.982073 9.087339 17.333434
2025-11-09 0.432646 0.781274 1.397949 2.588750 4.881630 9.204649 18.214783
2025-11-16 0.394143 0.731373 1.345225 2.567099 4.997645 9.738439 19.988374
2025-11-23 0.354974 0.676770 1.279493 2.516166 5.057730 10.187110 21.695129
2025-11-30 0.339914 0.666374 1.296101 2.629360 5.463705 11.390573 25.211270
2025-12-07 0.319827 0.643657 1.285886 2.686541 5.761187 12.411081 28.499680
2025-12-14 0.294588 0.607517 1.244381 2.672377 5.902661 13.114113 31.178014
2025-12-21 0.263911 0.556557 1.166433 2.569211 5.831543 13.330906 32.730599
2025-12-28 0.255701 0.552418 1.186836 2.686932 6.282145 14.814532 37.676899
2026-01-04 0.248793 0.550259 1.211126 2.816480 6.778949 16.481886 43.397233
2026-01-11 0.236868 0.535476 1.205510 2.874738 7.110270 17.791630 48.405553
2026-01-18 0.225069 0.519630 1.195596 2.921162 7.418321 19.088031 53.616007
2026-01-25 0.206339 0.485480 1.139116 2.844733 7.398511 19.524433 56.453149
2026-02-01 0.185231 0.443396 1.059163 2.698579 7.173565 19.375921 57.538985